Deloitte’s 2026 Outlook: What It Means for Ops

From scale and optimisation to focus, agility, and operational efficiency

Consumer goods companies are entering a new operating reality.

According to Deloitte’s 2026 Consumer Products Outlook, the assumptions that shaped CPG operating models for decades, scale, breadth, global optimisation, are being fundamentally challenged.

Deglobalisation, AI, cost pressure, and shifting consumer expectations are forcing leadership teams to ask a harder question:

Is our operating model actually built for the world we’re now in?

Below, we translate Deloitte’s key provocations into practical implications for operations — supply chain, teams, processes, systems, and metrics.

1. Consumer value is now an Ops problem

Keywords: consumer value, cost-to-serve, operational efficiency, pricing strategy

Nearly half of global consumers now identify as “value seekers”. This goes beyond inflation. Consumer behaviour has fundamentally changed.

From an operations perspective, value is no longer created primarily through marketing or pricing tactics. It is engineered through the operating model.

What this means for ops:

  • Cost-to-serve visibility by SKU, channel, and geography

  • Pricing decisions grounded in operational reality, not just margin targets

  • Faster feedback loops between consumer insight and operational investment

  • Active reallocation of spend away from activities consumers don’t perceive as value

Operational takeaway: If your cost base and processes aren’t aligned with what customers value, margin pressure is inevitable.

2. Nimble beats optimal in an unstable world

Keywords: supply chain agility, deglobalisation, operational resilience, decentralised teams

Deloitte highlights a decisive shift away from over-optimised global supply chains.

In a world shaped by trade policy volatility, geopolitical risk, and climate disruption, efficiency without flexibility are no longer sustainable.

Operational implications:

  • Scenario-based planning instead of single-number forecasts

  • Modular supply chains that can flex geographically

  • Shorter decision cycles and clearer local decision rights

  • Processes designed to handle exceptions, not just steady state

This also affects team design:

  • More decentralised operating structures

  • Less consensus-driven decision-making

  • Clear accountability closer to the market

Operational takeaway: Agility means you can adjust without everything unraveling.

3. Focus beats breadth as complexity gets expensive

Keywords: SKU rationalisation, portfolio focus, operational simplicity, supply chain cost

As supply chains shorten and costs rise, breadth becomes expensive.

Deloitte observes a shift toward:

  • Category focus

  • Portfolio simplification

  • SKU rationalisation

  • Faster innovation cycles

From an operations standpoint, focus delivers:

  • Lower planning complexity

  • Fewer supply chain nodes

  • Shorter lead times

  • Clearer performance signals

  • Faster decision-making

Operational takeaway: A tighter portfolio makes everything else simpler.

4. Simpler structures enable faster execution

Keywords: operating model, OKRs, organisational design, process simplification

Complex organisational structures slow execution and diffuse accountability.

Deloitte’s emphasis on simplification translates operationally into:

  • Flatter structures

  • End-to-end process ownership

  • Fewer handovers between teams

  • Clear decision rights

This only works if priorities are explicit.

From an ops perspective:

  • OKRs become essential

  • Legacy processes and data must be actively retired

  • AI only delivers value if the underlying structure is coherent

Operational takeaway: Clarity beats consensus. Simplicity beats sophistication.

5. Growth is decoupling from headcount

Keywords: productivity, revenue per FTE, lean operations, AI in operations

One of the clearest signals in Deloitte’s outlook: Growth is no longer expected to come with proportional hiring.

Operational implications:

  • Revenue per FTE becomes a core metric

  • Process automation is foundational

  • AI is embedded into workflows, not layered on top

  • Teams are designed to be lean by default

It’s about cutting work that shouldn’t exist in the first place.

Operational takeaway: The most scalable companies are operationally lean.

6. Value chains are being renegotiated

Keywords: retailer collaboration, joint planning, supply chain partnerships

As retailers gain power through private labels, data ownership, and retail media, CPG companies must collaborate differently.

From an operations lens, collaboration requires:

  • Shared planning processes

  • Integrated demand forecasting

  • Data interoperability

  • Joint cost-reduction initiatives

  • Clear governance models

The biggest barrier is misalignment.

Operational takeaway: The strongest value chains will operate as integrated systems, not negotiated silos.

7. AI-driven demand requires AI-ready operations

Keywords: AI supply chain, agentic commerce, inventory visibility, operational data

AI is transforming both supply and demand.

As consumers increasingly use AI for product discovery and purchasing, operations must support:

  • Real-time availability

  • Clean master data

  • Accurate inventory signals

  • Faster replenishment cycles

This makes data quality and system integration operationally critical, not technical nice-to-haves.

Operational takeaway: AI-driven demand exposes operational weaknesses instantly.

Conclusion: What This Means for The Ops Engine

Keywords: operating model design, operational backbone, scalable operations

Deloitte’s 2026 outlook sends a clear signal: Strategy is not the constraint, Operations are.

The next phase of consumer goods growth will not be unlocked by:

  • More SKUs

  • More people

  • More optimisation

It will be unlocked by:

  • Focused operating models

  • Lean, high-leverage teams

  • Anticipatory supply chains

  • Clear priorities and accountability

  • Systems that scale clarity, not complexity

At The Ops Engine, we design the operational backbone that allows companies to scale with focus, speed, and resilience, in a world where the rules keep changing (fast!).

Deloitte full article.

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